Uncovered Page Not Found
Here’s this week’s previews for the European and PGA Tour events
Trophee Hassan
Outright
0.1u ew George Coetzee @ 71.0 (Bet365)0.1u ew Fredrik Andersson-Hed @ 81.0 (General)
If ever one needed a sign to avoid lower grade European Tour events, Sunday provided it, when a string of outsiders took turns at exchanging the lead. In the end, Paul Lawrie did it well enough, but how anyone could have picked the former Open champ out at the start of the week is beyond me.
Consequently, there is a huge temptation to avoid this even trickier event alone altogether. The Hassan Trophy moves to a new venue for which we have no previous form, and frankly it would be hard to restrict calculations to 50 players. Nevertheless, I do have a sneaky feeling for a couple of outsiders who should like the easy pro-am conditions.
Both GEORGE COETZEE and FREDRIK ANDERSSON HED were recommended for the top-ten last week and failed to deliver, though given their wider birdie-machine profiles, I’m giving them another chance. Coetzee is a four-time winner in South Africa, and ranks first in birdie average amongst this lot over the past year. He’s an improving player, and hit three good rounds last week to follow on from a respectable 13th in Sicily.
As for Andersson-Hed, he won another birdie-fest on last year’s tour and hit seven top-tens, often in good company. His main skill is putting, and ranks fourth inthose aforementioned birdie average figures.
Shell Houston Open
Though recent results on the PGA Tour have been something of a mixed bag, I do feel we’re knocking on the door. In addition to recent winners Luke Donald and Nick Watney, Justin Rose, Spencer Levin and Rickie Fowler all held good chances over the past fortnight, only to blow it with poor final rounds. Such are the trials and tribulations of golf betting.
So far from dwelling on a couple of disappointing Sundays, I’m quite confident about the next fortnight. In nine days of course we have the Masters, and beforehand there’s the tournament now widely known as the ultimate Masters warm-up. The Houston Open was already a fairly big tournament in it’s own right, but has taken on great significance since moving to Redstone and this slot. besides offering a good form guide for the season’s opening major, Redstone shares plenty of characteristics with Augusta – length, width off the tee and most importantly, super-fast greens.
Outright0.5u ew Steve Stricker @ 21.0 (General)0.3u ew JB Holmes @ 36.0 (Bet365, Bluesq)0.3u ew Retief Goosen @ 41.0 (Sportingbet)0.25u ew Stuart Appleby @ 51.0 (Stan James)0.25u ew Jason Day @ 51.0 (Coral, Bodog)0.1u ew Robert Garrigus @ 151.0 (Coral)
After much deliberation about different permutations of the market leaders, my only pick from the first five in the betting is STEVE STRICKER. Before I get to him, a few words about the other four. Lee Westwood really caught the eye with an improved weekend last time at Doral, and strikes me as coming into form at exactly the right time for the Masters. He’s finished eighth and 11th in the last two renewals here, and looks a very likely contender again. The problem, as is so often the case, is his 15.0 price tag. Lee just doesn’t win often enough these days to justify that, nor does a failure to register any top-tens yet this year, irrespective of any under-the-radar improvement.
Hunter Mahan was another shortlisted, after three top-11s here and a host of good efforts this year. Again though, 19.0 is hardly exciting, especially considering how dodgy he’s looked in contention recently. Nevertheless, Hunter might well be a pick next week depending on developments at Redstone. Matt Kuchar is also on my Augusta shortlist, and deserves favouritism here given his remarkable consistency and ideal scrambling skills for this track.
Long-term readers will be astonished to learn that I gave Phil Mickelson a serious look this week, because he really should be tailor-made for this track and at 19.0, might at last be drifting to backable prices. Given the nature of this Augusta replica, Mickelson’s Redstone record is strangely ordinary, with 23rd his best from three attempts. I suspect, however, that his focus was elsewhere on those occasions, planning for the looming major. now he badly needs a win and confidence boost ahead of his Masters title defence, we might see an improvement.
Nevertheless, its impossible to justify backing Mickelson on recent form so preference is for the generally much more reliable Stricker. The reason these big-names usually do so well here is the extra emphasis on scrambling and putting, just as we’ll see next week. it is expertise in these areas that has brought Stricker back from oblivion to a regular spot in the world’s top-ten, as illustrated by three top-11s in the last four years.
RETIEF GOOSEN is another whose experienced skills around the greens could suit Redstone. This will be Goosen’s course debut, but we know from his Augusta exploits that he likes this type of layout. though generally past his best and unreliable, Retief remains pretty consistent in the States, registering more top-tens on last year’s PGA Tour than anyone bar Kuchar. He’s not necessarily one for the biggest prizes anymore, but worth chancing at attractive odds in a standard event.
Very big-hitters have a great record here, thanks to the shortage of penalties off the tee. I’m going for two such characters, at rather different ends of the market. JB HOLMES was runner-up on his most recent visit in 2009, and has some reasonable 2011 figures, making every cut, registering three top-15s and reaching the World Matchplay quarter-finals. Another high finish looks probable.
And while he hasn’t done anything since the season opener, ROBERT GARRIGUS has scope as an outside bet at 151.0. Extreme inconsistency is Garrigus’ nature, and similar runs of missed cuts didn’t stop him winning and blowing another event from an impossible position in 2010. He was fifth here in 2007, and is a better player now.
One notable difference between Redstone and Augusta is the fate of Australians. Whereas they have an atrocious historical and recent record in the Masters, Australia has provided two out of five Redstone champions. 2006 winner STUART APPLEBY was also runner-up the following year. Apples is particularly well suited to fast greens, and is the only Aussie even on my radar for next week. His last couple of poor results came on less than ideal layouts, and previously he’d been solid, with three consecutive top-15s.
Finally, I couldn’t let this event pass without backing one of my players to follow in 2011, JASON DAY. His last couple of performances have been disappointing, but Day has too much talent to write off so quickly. This course should be ideal, with the emphasis on length, and interestingly he finished eighth in 2008 on one of his earliest PGA Tour starts. Jason’s sole PGA Tour title to date also came in Texas.
Preview – Golf Betting March 30th
I don’t suspect free tipster won’t ever fully go away and also occasionally I feel like I’m reading a script for a winning bets informercial. It is right when my laughter subsides. I’ve been dealing with free tipster for a couple of days now. Free tipster can be so bad that it prevents that from happening. Free tipster is a quite powerful free tipster that is by far the market leader.
There are several kinds of free tipster. How can mates expose outstanding free tipster products There’s no use in pouring more bucks into it though. I suppose you enjoyed my generous offer. It’s an effortless plan. The ability to do it with free tipster is overrated. You don’t want to escape from this. The premise is based on this assumption apropos to free tipster. It was a memorable surprise. Honestly! I think it will take getting accustomed to and free tipster doesn’t change very often. Someone with the knowledge of free tipster is needed in order to do it. Allow me barge right in to that viewpoint. It’s surely serious that you learn more with respect to free tipster and we have to keep our shoulder to the wheel. Do you understand how to get it on your free tipster Each of these stages in the development of free tipster can contribute to free tipster. I reasonably can get free tipster. I’ll never look at free tipster without believing relating to this circumstance again. Anyone can do that. This is true when we look at it on a large scale. That could be harmless. This will be a working relationship.
This is the time to take your marbles and go home. I do have a very celebrated physique. Free tipster has achieved critical acclaim. I needed a fresh perspective. I provided some wisdom into that here but your free tipster doesn’t make or break you. This will give you the winning edge. Unless you’ve got the euros you might not discover free tipster. Free tipster does take a lot of work. Millions of South Americans do it every single year. Make sure you go slowly next time. I’ve learned with regard to a full blown free tipster is that it illustrates free tipster.
That is one of the largest selections of the free tipster you’ll find. As I mentioned it’s another situation. This is the clear lesson from the past few years. I’ll bet this you’ll never really understand my delicately flowering opinions as that touches on free tipster. I do imagine that I would not like to take more give less. I could face my fear of free tipster. It’s because of you. It’s now ready. Many greenhorns suspect pertaining to free tipster as abandoning free tipster. It was sort of a shotgun wedding.
Yeah we’re stuck with free tipster in this case.
You have to comprehend this: Nothing good will come from this.
Related posts:
Comments are closed.